Thomas Chadefaux

Thomas Chadefaux is an Assistant Professor of Political Science at Trinity College Dublin. He earned his B.A. in Public Administration from the Paris Institute of Political Studies, M.A. in International Politics from the Graduate Institute of International Studies in Geneva, and an M.A. and Ph.D. in Political Science from the University of Michigan.

Professor Chadefaux researches the causes of interstate conflicts using fine-grained spatial and temporal data. Additionally, he uses the data to predict future conflicts and wars.

Representative Publications

Helbing, Dirk, et al. “Saving human lives: what complexity science and information systems can contribute.” Journal of Statistical Physics 158.3 (2015): 735-781.

Chadefaux, Thomas. “Early Warning Signals for War in the News.” Journal of Peace Research 51.1 (2014): 5-18.

Chadefaux, Thomas. “Bargaining over Power: When do Shifts in Power Lead to War?.” International Theory 3.02 (2011): 228-253.

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